‘The Global Economy’ Archives
U.S. Output and Consumer Prices in 2011
Inflation was average in 2011, but GDP growth was weak. [Read More]
Low Interest Rates Through 2014
Bad news for savers. Good news for big banks and speculators. [Read More]
Productivity Improvements
Photo courtesy of Standard Travel Photos click for larger image In a previous article, Administration Forecast of U.S. GDP Growth, we looked at the Obama Administration’s forecast for growth of potential GDP and actual GDP from the 2011 Economic Report of the [Read More]
Rising Output Growth Model for US Population
The diminishing growth model for US population growth is tweaked to account for rising maximum potential output. [Read More]
A Diminishing Growth Model for US Population from 1610 to 2010
US Population from 1610 to 2010 is compared against a simple diminishing growth model. [Read More]
A Better Model for Long-Term Growth
The exponential growth model is rejected in favor of a diminishing growth model. [Read More]
Could the Whole World Live Like the U.S.?
Most of the world aspires to a higher standard of living. Is it possible for the whole world to have a standard of living equal to the U.S.? [Read More]
U.S. Population Growth
A simple model if population growth is used to play what-if with population forecasts. [Read More]
Administration Forecast of U.S. GDP Growth
The President's Council of Economic Advisors forecast for growth in Real Gross Domestic Product. [Read More]
Economic Report of the President
Reading the Economic Report of the President is a good way to learn about the U.S. Economy. [Read More]
Is GDP Growth Rate Stable?
U.S. GDP growth and the sources of growth are examined to answer the question, is GDP growth at all stable and predictable? [Read More]
Net Profit Margin and Mean Reversion: Economic Perspective
Net Profit Margin as the share of output that goes to capital. [Read More]
Net Profit Margin and Mean Reversion: Accounting Perspective
Net Profit Margin as Net Profit After Tax / Total Sales [Read More]
A Simple Model for Stock Returns
A simple economic model for stock returns based on Discounted Cashflow (DCF) of corporate earnings derived from Real GDP and Corporate Profit Margins. [Read More]
State of the U.S. Economy: May 2011
U.S. economy measured by Real Gross Domestic Product, consumer prices and the employment situation as of May 2011. [Read More]
U.S. Employment Situation February 2011
Feb-2011 Employement Situation Report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show shows that there were still over 6 million fewer people employed than three years ago. [Read More]
What Were Historical Real Interest Rates?
The historical inflation-adjusted return of 10-Year Treasuries. [Read More]
